Situation room

US to hold trilateral talks with Ukraine, Russia in Abu Dhabi next week, US official says

9m ago

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Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?

Yes 85% No 15%

Trump approval rating near record low on eve of US midterm elections: Poll

12m ago

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Will Trump's approval rating be less than 37.5 on November 6, 2026?

Yes 1% No 99%

Opinion | Religious Schools Déjà Vu at the Supreme Court

23m ago

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Supreme Court sides with Catholic preschools in Colorado funding case?

Yes 44% No 56%

South Korea Inflation Holds Firm, Bolstering Case for More Hikes

30m ago

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Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%?

Yes 44% No 56%

California Democrats Can't Agree On How To Tax Billionaires - The Journal. - WSJ Podcasts

1h ago

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Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Yes 25% No 75%

What to Know About the Midterm Elections

1h ago

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2026 Balance of Power: Other

Yes 0% No 100%

Explainer: What's next in the Lindsay Clancy murder case?

1h ago

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Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?

Yes 35% No 65%

Apple earnings: iPhone sales lead revenue upward

1h ago

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Will Apple say "AI / Artificial Intelligence" 20+ times during earnings call?

Yes 99.5% No 0.5%

Ukraine: At least 26 killed in Russian strikes on aid center

1h ago

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Will Russia target Kyiv on November 27, 2026?

Yes 70% No 30%

Anthropic Investors Push for Cautious Valuation Closer to $1.5 Trillion

2h ago

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Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T?

Yes 7% No 93%

Trump raises doubts about renewed attacks on Iran

2h ago

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US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

Yes 89% No 11%

AI & Tech Brief: Why Anthropic isn't calming AI's troubled waters

2h ago

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Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

Anthropic 76% OpenAI 24%

Senators want Kalshi and Polymarket to prove election odds aren't tainted ahead of the midterm vote

3h ago

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Senate control favorite on November 2?

Democratic Party 99.9% Republican Party 0.1%

Investors Demand High Rates to Buy New Oracle Bonds

3h ago

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Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by June 30, 2027?

Yes 47% No 53%

Anthropic's average employee costs it more than $100,000 a month

3h ago

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Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be $2.50T or more?

Yes 0.2% No 99.8%

Prediction market traders now see nearly 75% chance of Democrats winning the Senate

4h ago

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Senate control favorite on November 2?

Democratic Party 99.9% Republican Party 0.1%

Iran pushing accelerated plan for ceasefire talks with US

4h ago

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Iran blockade lifted before US x Iran ceasefire ends?

Yes 37% No 63%

Texas governor race tightens in prediction markets, but Abbott remains favored

4h ago

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Will Democrats win the Texas Governor election and Republicans win the Texas Senate election?

Yes 0% No 100%

Tennessee Election Day brings governor's race, redrawn congressional map

4h ago

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Will the Democrats win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?

Yes 5% No 95%

Trump Account holders to receive SpaceX stock from Gwynne Shotwell in December

5h ago

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Anthropic commits shares to Trump Accounts by November 30?

Yes 6% No 94%