Iran says revised plan could reopen Hormuz in two days if US meets demands
Iran says it has compressed its proposal for ending the conflict with the United States, saying the Strait of Hormuz could be reopened and mediated negotiations resumed within two days if Washington accepts Tehran’s demands. But Iranian negotiators have left the latest Doha talks, and there is no reported US acceptance of the proposal.13
TL;DR
- Iran is offering a faster route to reopening Hormuz, but it has not softened the conditions it says must be met first.123
- The market’s modest estimate for a Hormuz agreement by November 30 reflects the central uncertainty: whether Washington will accept Iran’s conditions, not how quickly Tehran says it could act afterward.1M5
Across the coverage
Reuters specified that the Iranian delegation left Doha on Sunday and that a draft was circulating with a follow-up meeting possible. Al Jazeera and France 24 emphasized ongoing mediated exchanges on Monday. These accounts distinguish the end of the Doha round from continued contact through intermediaries.123
Still to come
- The circulating draft and the possibility of a follow-up meeting will test whether mediated exchanges can produce terms acceptable to both sides. Iran says reopening Hormuz and resuming negotiations depend on Washington meeting its demands, while no US acceptance has been reported.
Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei said Monday that the seven-step plan Iran put forward in September was unchanged, but could be implemented in two days rather than the week previously envisaged. The conditions include ending the US naval blockade of Iranian ports, lifting sanctions and securing an end to strikes and a regional ceasefire. Baghaei said progress depended on Washington’s response; Reuters reported that US President Donald Trump had rejected Iran’s initial proposal.123
The diplomatic picture remains unsettled. Reuters reported that Iranian negotiators left Doha on Sunday after talks with Qatari mediators, while an official briefed on the discussions said a draft proposal was circulating and a follow-up meeting was possible. The departure was not attributed to difficulties in the negotiations. Iranian officials have also described indirect exchanges through Qatar and Pakistan as continuing, so the end of that Doha round has not necessarily ended contact.123
The proposal’s fast timetable is conditional, not evidence of an imminent agreement: Baghaei said Tehran’s demands had not changed and gave no indication Washington had accepted them. Prediction-market pricing on November 2 put the probability of a US-Iran diplomatic agreement establishing commitments to increase Strait of Hormuz traffic by November 30 at about 28%. That estimate underscores the gap between Iran’s claim that implementation could be quick and the uncertainty over whether the two sides can agree on terms.13M5
Sources
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Iran pushing accelerated plan for ceasefire talks with US · Al Jazeera Online · Nov 2
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Iran engages US in 'intensive' negotiations to avert fresh war outbreak · France 24 · Nov 2
AI-generated from the linked reporting and prediction-market data. Market prices reflect traders’ expectations and can change.