U.S.-mediated Russia-Ukraine talks scheduled for Abu Dhabi on Nov. 10-11
The United States plans to bring Russian and Ukrainian delegations together in Abu Dhabi on Nov. 10-11, restarting U.S.-mediated talks that last took place in February. The meeting will address security arrangements, de-escalation and humanitarian issues, but the sides remain far apart on the terms of a possible peace deal.21
TL;DR
- The talks provide a specific diplomatic restart after the February pause, but the reporting describes major disagreements that the announced agenda has yet to resolve.21
- The market snapshot anticipated the UAE as the venue before the official announcement; it offers no estimate of whether the talks will produce a peace deal.X1M1
Still to come
- U.S. negotiators are due to meet European and NATO representatives in Brussels this week to discuss Ukraine's security guarantees, Europe's security framework and reconstruction support, issues that will shape the allied side of the diplomatic effort.
- The U.S.-mediated Russia-Ukraine talks are scheduled for Nov. 10-11 in Abu Dhabi. Whether the discussions address the parties' deep disagreements, including over territory, will be central to assessing whether the diplomatic restart yields substantive progress.
Steve Witkoff's office announced that the United States will mediate the negotiations, with Witkoff and Jared Kushner expected to represent Washington. The announced agenda includes post-war security arrangements, de-escalation, humanitarian efforts and next steps toward peace. The last U.S.-mediated talks took place in February, before the United States and Israel launched a war against Iran, Reuters reported.X12
Before the Abu Dhabi meeting, U.S. negotiators are scheduled to meet this week in Brussels with representatives from France, Germany, the United Kingdom, the European Union and NATO. A senior U.S. official told Reuters the discussions will cover security guarantees for Ukraine, Europe's future security framework and economic support for reconstruction. The parallel track sets out issues for allied coordination, while the Abu Dhabi talks bring Russia and Ukraine back to the negotiating table.2X1
The announcement marks a return to talks, not evidence that the parties have narrowed their differences. Reuters reported that Ukraine and Russia remain far apart on a possible deal; Axios said territory is a central point of disagreement and cited Russian attacks and President Vladimir Putin's refusal to agree to a ceasefire as further obstacles. A market observation on Nov. 2, made shortly before Witkoff's office announced the dates, put the odds of the next qualifying peace talks taking place in the UAE by the end of 2027 at about 85%. That estimate concerns the venue, not the prospects for an agreement.21X1M1
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Special Envoy Steve Witkoff
@SEPeaceMissions
The United States will mediate working-level negotiations between Ukraine and Russia on November 10–11 in Abu Dhabi, advancing President Trump’s mission to end the war. Discussions will focus on post-war security arrangements, de-escalation, humanitarian efforts, and next steps toward peace.
Additionally, American negotiators will meet this week in Brussels with representatives from France, Germany, the United Kingdom, the EU, and NATO to discuss security guarantees for Ukraine, Europe’s post-war security architecture, and economic opportunities to support Ukraine’s reconstruction.
We look forward to building on the progress made in Kyiv, Oslo, and St. Petersburg toward a comprehensive, durable peace agreement that delivers lasting security for generations to come.
Sources
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